Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.3#72
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#194
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#311
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 6.7% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 22.6% 51.7% 20.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 56.0% 33.5%
Conference Champion 3.2% 6.3% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.7% 13.1% 21.2%
First Four0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round2.5% 6.0% 2.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.90.0 - 1.9
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.80.1 - 3.7
Quad 20.2 - 2.30.4 - 6.1
Quad 31.6 - 5.12.0 - 11.1
Quad 48.4 - 6.510.4 - 17.6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 68   @ Minnesota L 73-86 6%    
  Nov 14, 2018 326   Northern Arizona W 76-71 78%    
  Nov 16, 2018 84   @ Colorado L 69-80 10%    
  Nov 20, 2018 299   @ Bethune-Cookman W 86-83 49%    
  Nov 24, 2018 251   Montana St. L 78-79 61%    
  Nov 26, 2018 30   @ Iowa St. L 70-87 4%    
  Nov 28, 2018 43   @ Arizona St. L 75-90 5%    
  Dec 06, 2018 244   @ Seattle L 74-75 38%    
  Dec 08, 2018 17   @ Oregon L 66-85 3%    
  Dec 15, 2018 262   @ Idaho W 73-72 43%    
  Dec 19, 2018 177   UC Santa Barbara L 73-77 45%    
  Dec 21, 2018 323   @ Rice W 77-72 56%    
  Dec 28, 2018 200   Denver L 72-75 50%    
  Dec 30, 2018 283   Oral Roberts W 75-74 63%    
  Jan 02, 2019 199   North Dakota St. L 72-75 50%    
  Jan 10, 2019 271   @ North Dakota W 79-78 43%    
  Jan 17, 2019 270   @ Western Illinois W 75-74 43%    
  Jan 20, 2019 134   South Dakota L 73-81 35%    
  Jan 24, 2019 169   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-85 25%    
  Jan 26, 2019 79   @ South Dakota St. L 75-86 12%    
  Feb 03, 2019 271   North Dakota W 79-78 62%    
  Feb 07, 2019 134   @ South Dakota L 73-81 19%    
  Feb 14, 2019 79   South Dakota St. L 75-86 25%    
  Feb 16, 2019 169   Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-85 44%    
  Feb 20, 2019 270   Western Illinois W 75-74 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 199   @ North Dakota St. L 72-75 31%    
  Feb 28, 2019 283   @ Oral Roberts W 75-74 44%    
  Mar 02, 2019 200   @ Denver L 72-75 32%    
Projected Record 10.4 - 17.6 6.4 - 9.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.4 4.7 1.2 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 6.1 4.8 1.1 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.4 3.0 6.3 4.7 1.0 0.1 15.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.8 2.3 4.2 4.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.7 9th
Total 0.8 2.4 5.1 8.1 10.7 12.1 13.3 12.5 11.2 8.5 6.3 4.2 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 96.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 67.1% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
12-4 37.9% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 12.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 94.3% 94.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 60.6% 49.0% 11.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.8%
14-2 0.5% 24.0% 21.4% 2.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.3%
13-3 1.5% 22.6% 22.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
12-4 2.5% 13.6% 13.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.1
11-5 4.2% 10.5% 10.5% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.8
10-6 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.8
9-7 8.5% 4.7% 4.7% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 8.1
8-8 11.2% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
7-9 12.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.3
6-10 13.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.2
5-11 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
4-12 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.7
3-13 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1
2-14 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.1
1-15 2.4% 2.4
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%